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Foote Notes: Kansas City at Houston

ESPN takes its’ show to Reliant Stadium in Houston where the Chiefs and Texans will collide. Kansas City is priced as a 6.5-point favorite and the posted total is hovering at 44.

Despite a triple digit advantage in yardage, the Chiefs wound up on the short end of a 14-3 final at Buffalo last weekend. The setback dropped Kansas City to 5-4 (SU & ATS) overall, but just 2-3 (SU & ATS) when away from Arrowhead.

Meanwhile, Houston was given the unenviable task of playing the undefeated Colts at the RCA Dome last week. The Texans were outgained by 210 yards in the 31-17 loss, but kept close enough to grab the green as a 17.5-point underdog

The result dropped Houston to 1-8 (SU) overall, while improving their record against the number to 4-5 (ATS) overall. In fact, it was the hard-trying Texans third consecutive pointspread win. Nevertheless, “Houston, we have a problem” protecting the quarterback, as Carr has been sacked 46 times in nine games.

The Texans feeble attack manages just 13.8 points and 215.9 yards per game. This has Houston ranked second to last in the NFL in both total offense and passing offense, as well as 30th in points scored. And losing tackle Todd Wade in last weekend’s loss to the Colts is not going to help matters.

So are the Chiefs an automatic tonight? Hardly. Sure they are the superior team, but they are shouldering a lofty pointspread despite having lost three in a row on the road.

Moreover, Houston’s record is a bit misleading due to a ridiculous schedule. The Texans have faced four teams with two losses or less (Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Seattle and Indianapolis twice!).

Good luck with your bets tonight!

William Foote is a documented member of the Professional Handicappers League. Read all of his articles at http://www.procappers.com/William_Foote.htm

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